By Lambert Strether of Corrente. “At what point shall we expect the approach of danger?” –Abraham Lincoln, The Lyceum Address Here is the current EC status from 270toWin (which nets out the same as O.G. Larry Sabato’s): Agonizingly close, then....
By Lambert Strether of Corrente. Patient readers, this Water Cooler is a bit light because I must hustle along and finish a post on election day scheming. Also, since it’s only eight days ’til Election Day, I’m going to focus...
Reader Moonmac argues the case that we are in a recession, in a rejoinder my paper “Recession since 2022? A Critique“: McService Job Nation disagrees even though they’re employed. Gainfully is a different matter. I think the data is suggests...
By Sören Karau, senior economist in the economics department (Balance of Payments, Exchange Rates and Capital Markets Analysis) at the Deutsche Bundesbank, and Johannes Fischer. an economist in the economics department (Balance of Payments, Exchange Rates and Capital Markets Analysis)...
Corroborating written history with ancient DNA: The case of the Well-man described in an Old Norse saga iScience Does the Fed Still Believe in the NAIRU? J. W. Mason’s Money and Things Life makes mistakes Aeon (alynch) Climate/Environment Silicon Valley’s...
Economist Mario Draghi has held a lot of roles: Goldman Sachs executive, the European Central Bank president, and unelected prime minister of Italy. He’s now continuing his decades-long mission to remake Europe into a neoliberal paradise for the financial class as...
By Evy Lewis. Originally published at Investigate Midwest. In 2004, John Platt and his wife purchased 26 acres of untouched woodlands in Florida’s panhandle. As they transformed it into a horse ranch, they toppled trees and stripped the undergrowth with...
Be prepared. It doesn’t look good for Wisconsin (just like Trump 1.0 didn’t but this time there isn’t $18 billion on tap to bail out the soybean farmers). Source: McClelland et al. (2024). These estimated impacts are for imports and...
EJ Antoni and Peter St. Onge argue we have been deceived by incorrect deflators. Rebuttal, showing the irreproducibility of their results, and non-deflator sensitive indicators, downloadable here, with new data. Figure 9 from Chinn (2024): Nonfarm payroll (NFP) employment (blue),...
The Case of the SS Stalingrad, the Polar Bear and the Barrels of Siberian Honey. Breaking the Fetters Climate/Environment The energy transition is powered by — wait for it — coal Bloomberg Another private equity group is buying an Ohio coal...
