Conventions are normally hum-drum affairs, with all the charm of a Jerry Lewis telethon. The Democrats hope to extend the Kamala honeymoon by having a festive, well-publicized, and problem-free event. The recent big wave of anti-Israel-genocide protests and possible anti-immigration...
Yves here. Even though this post looks at the question of what to do about the baby bust in wealthy countries from an economic perspective, unlike many other accounts, it treats seriously the question of how to adapt to a...
That’s a title from FT. Remember when Trump promised 4% growth (in May 2017)? How did that turn out? Figure 1: GDP (black), and 4% growth counterfactual (red), both in bn.Ch.2017$ SAAR. NBER defined peak-to-trough recession dates shaded gray. Source:...
From the US Naval Institute: Source: USNI, accessed 8/15/2024. While the US is deploying (well-signaled) extra forces to the Mideast, the Geopolitical Risk index (GPR) has remained remarkably subdued (through 8/12). This entry was posted on August 15,...
From BOFIT today (as translated by Google): According to the Russian Statistical Institute’s preliminary estimate, Russia’s GDP grew by 4% year-on-year in April-June. Growth has clearly slowed down in recent months. In June, (seasonally adjusted) production declined in industry and...
From MilitaryLand. Source: MilitaryLand, accessed 8/15/2024. Notable is that the forces involved include the 22nd and 88th Mechanized Brigades, as well as 80th Air Assault Brigade (along with elements of 82nd and now 95th Air Assault Brigades) (all these IDs...
With the Fed’s industrial production release (-0.6% m/m vs. -0.3% consensus) and retails sales (+1.0% m/m vs. +0.4% consensus), we have the following pictures, the first of the indicators followed by the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, plus monthly GDP....
By Lambert Strether of Corrente Bird Song of the Day I looked for another species of songbird that mimics, and came up with the Thrasher. Brown Thrasher, Concord Park–The Cove, Knox, Tennessee, United States * * * In Case You...
Yves here. Speaking of rat races, I have a sudden pile up of things to do and I need to dig myself out. But hopefully this post on the sorry state of scientific, as in academic, research will provide some...
