Yves here. Keep in mind that this PMI data simply reflects existing trajectories. There are other inflation boosters waiting in the wings, such as a strike on US east coast ports and intensification of fighting in the Middle East increasing...
Amid rising diplomatic tensions with the US, Mexico’s diplomatic and economic relations with China appear to be going from strength to strength. Before we get to the meat of this story, a quick primer on where relations between the US...
The secret to the old snow leopard’s longevity YouTube A little history of the anchovy Engelsberg Ideas (Anthony L) Mathematicians discover new class of shape seen throughout nature Nature (Dr. Kevin) In the Shack With Robert Caro Curbed (Anthony L)...
Yves here. This study looks at an important topic: what causes inequality of health by income strata? It’s widely recognized that richer people generally have better health than poorer people, but how does that come about? This data comes from...
One of the interesting things about the current debate over whether we’re about to go into a recession or not is the multitude of indicators that different people glom onto — without any expressed formal rationale for picking one over...
No apparent recession as of August 2024 data (my interpretation – see the opposing views here). Using year-ago financial data, what would have probit regressions have indicated? It matters which variables you use, and whether you include the 2020 recession....
Bird Song of the Day Back to Thrashers, which are mimics too, like mockingbirds and characters. So the first clip I test is is 35 minutes of thrasherdom…. Enjpy! Sage Thrasher, Sublette, Wyoming, United States. “Gradually moves further and further...
Today we present a guest post written by Matías Scaglione and Romina Soria, co-founders of the data science and economic consulting firm Motio Research. In May 2024, we presented our prediction for the 2023 Census nominal and real household income data, using estimates derived...
By Rachel Sherrington, an investigative researcher and reporter based in Brussels, and Hazel Healy, DeSmog’s UK Editor. Originally published at DeSmog. This week, as business and government leaders, investors and campaigners gather for New York Climate Week, DeSmog is relaunching...
We will soon enough discuss the Fed’s unseemly super-sized rate cut of 50 basis points. Keep in mind that this is way out of normal ranges. Historically, reductions of this magnitude occurred only when the central bank or its pet...
